Outlook season is here. The long-awaited U.S. recession may finally materialize in mid-2024, according to TD Securities, but it won’t be the end of the world. CIBC, meanwhile, expects the year to come in like a lion and go out like a lamb. While digesting the onslaught of predictions over the coming weeks and choosing which parts to relay to clients, it’s worth keeping in mind that economic models are struggling to incorporate some of the more puzzling elements of the post-pandemic economy.